We will continue to trade the small range that has been with us for a couple weeks now, swinging from high to low, low to high depending on stocks and ‘headlines”. Nothing huge here as we see Austin mortgage rates remaining low well into the third quarter.
Last week's Inside Lending reported that on Friday, the President signed into law a bill that extends to September 30 the closing deadline for claiming the federal homebuyer tax credit. We want to add he signed a second bill that retroactively reinstates the National Flood Insurance program, which expired May 31, until September 30. This news is important for home buyers who are shopping in areas where flood insurance is necessary to get a mortgage. It would obviously behoove these buyers to close before September 30.
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Fed Governor Fisher (Texas) comments about no need for further asset purchases but with a slowing second half of the year in his forecast, low inflation and a weak economy seem to be in play. This follows the Fed thinking and projects a low Austin mortgage interest rate environment until sustainable employment growth materializes.
As we have mentioned in the past, Austin mortgage interest rates appear to be locked in a tight range, trading at or near the best levels we’ve seen in 14 months. Reasons being are the lack of employment growth in the US, soft housing, Europe feeling queasy, and China concerns over growth. Tough to find a reason for higher yields, worsening mortgage pricing well into the third quarter.
Last Thursday pending home sales, a measure of contracts signed for existing homes, were reported off 30% in May compared to the prior month. This of course was simply the result of the end of the homebuyer tax credit, which required a signed contract by April 30. Common sense tells us many of those April contracts would have happened in May or even later if it weren't for the pressure to qualify for the tax credit.
After dropping to the lowest level in decades last week, Austin mortgage rates fell even further this week. Weak economic data from the United States, China and Europe caused investors to question the pace of the global economic recovery.
With respect to Austin mortgage rates and pricing, we see little change unless the prints are major outliers, say -200K or plus 100K (Non-farm). Either one of those would start a major move. Odds are good that pricing will be pretty close to where it is right now in 24 hours.
With risk reward not in your favor, Austin borrowers are advised to lock in their Austin mortgage interest rates and step aside as we’re not sure whether the light in the tunnel is the end or a train.
Overall supportive but just the same, the market has come a long way in short period of time. Some type of consolidation would not be a surprise at all. Currently, mortgage backs are off 6/32’s. Odds of a worsening Austin mortgage price change are starting to rise. Be careful out there.
